{"id":831,"date":"2025-09-06T10:33:26","date_gmt":"2025-09-06T07:33:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/diurnsky.com\/?p=831"},"modified":"2025-09-06T12:07:07","modified_gmt":"2025-09-06T09:07:07","slug":"831","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.diurnsky.com\/?p=831","title":{"rendered":""},"content":{"rendered":"\n<pre class=\"wp-block-preformatted has-system-sans-serif-font-family\">Hey, wanna compete with GPT-5?<br><br>There will be no computation of numbers, no pulling of info from memory\u2014nothing that machines excel at just because of their physical architecture. It will be a contest of sheer reason, your neuron connections versus its.<br><br>(Well, there <em>*is*<\/em> a chance something similar can be found in its dataset, but that's oh so unlikely. And if there <em>*is*<\/em> some info on this exact topic, it will oh so likely be full of fallacies.)<br><br>Ready? Try to solve this:<br><br><em>\"If I'd been a citizen of so-called russia, I would've done the following during the last presidential election:<br>1. If I were inside russia, I'd vote <\/em>*against*<em> Putin.<br>2. If I were outside russia, I'd vote <\/em>*for*<em> Putin.<br>Why? Use pure reason to solve this puzzle.<br>Hint: I don't support russia in any way or form.\"<\/em><br><br>Take your time. When you are ready, read on.<br><br>Below is our further conversation. ChatGPT said:<\/pre>\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-preformatted has-system-sans-serif-font-family has-small-font-size\"><em>\"Because your goal isn\u2019t to \u201chelp the right candidate\u201d but to hurt Russia as a state (your hint), the optimal move depends on where your ballot is seen and what it signals.<br><br>Inside Russia \u2192 vote against Putin. Domestic numbers feed the regime\u2019s story of mass loyalty. Every recorded \u201cnot-Putin\u201d makes that story weaker (and, in aggregate, harder to fake without looking absurd), chipping at internal legitimacy the Kremlin tries to manufacture through turnout and lopsided results. <br><br>Outside Russia \u2192 vote for Putin. Abroad, Russian polling places often skew anti-Kremlin and become a PR line\u2014\u201cthe diaspora rejects Putin\u201d\u2014which softens outsiders\u2019 view of Russian complicity. Flipping that signal (even a little) makes it easier for the world to see Russians as backing Putin even with access to free information, which tends to justify tougher isolation and sanctions\u2014i.e., outcomes that damage Russia. (Note: 2024 saw large lines abroad and weaker Putin shares at overseas precincts.) <br><br>So the rule is: hurt Russia where the audience is. Inside, undermine the regime\u2019s domestic legitimacy; outside, reinforce the perception of international complicity.\"<\/em><\/pre>\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-preformatted has-system-sans-serif-font-family\">I said:<\/pre>\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-preformatted has-system-sans-serif-font-family has-small-font-size\"><em>\"Your explanation is mostly sound, but it fails to pinpoint the core reason behind the difference. Please elaborate:<br>1. If it's important to make the mass loyalty story weaker, why not vote *against* outside russia?<br>2. If it's important to foster correct international relations, why not vote *for* inside russia?\"<\/em><\/pre>\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-preformatted has-system-sans-serif-font-family\">ChatGPT said:<\/pre>\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-preformatted has-system-sans-serif-font-family has-small-font-size\"><em>\"1. Why not vote against outside Russia?<br><br>Because your \u201cagainst\u201d ballot abroad is seen only by foreign audiences, not by Russian citizens. Inside Russia, the propaganda machine can safely dismiss or ignore diaspora results: \u201cthose are traitors, \u00e9migr\u00e9s, not real Russians.\u201d So your \u201cno to Putin\u201d abroad doesn\u2019t weaken the internal myth of unity; it just evaporates domestically.<br><br>But if you instead vote for Putin outside, you corrupt the international signal: the world sees not only Russian citizens at home but also Russians with access to free information voting for him. That creates the perception of collective guilt, tightening the noose of sanctions and isolation \u2014 which harms the state.<br><br>So: an anti-vote abroad is wasted leverage; a pro-vote abroad weaponizes perception.<br><br>2. Why not vote for inside Russia?<br><br>Because inside Russia, the ballots are used as propaganda fodder. \u201cRecord turnout, record support\u201d is broadcast endlessly. Even if falsification is huge, the ratio still matters: the higher the real anti-vote, the harder it is to fake margins without looking grotesque (say, 98% support). Every \u201cagainst\u201d at home adds friction to the domestic myth of unanimity.<br><br>If you vote for Putin inside, you only help inflate his support figure and make falsification easier. That directly strengthens internal legitimacy \u2014 the opposite of hurting Russia.<br><br>So: a pro-vote at home empowers the regime; an anti-vote at home chips at its story.<br><br>The Core Rule<br><br>It\u2019s not about being \u201cfor\u201d or \u201cagainst\u201d in absolute terms. It\u2019s about who the primary audience is for each ballot pool:<br><br>Inside Russia: the audience is Russian society itself. Best move: weaken the myth \u2192 vote against.<br><br>Outside Russia: the audience is foreign governments and publics. Best move: heighten perceived complicity \u2192 vote for.<br><br>In short: use your ballot where it most effectively undermines Russia, depending on who is watching.\"<\/em><\/pre>\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-preformatted has-system-sans-serif-font-family\">And that's it. It solved the riddle correctly. First, you have to realize that your vote won't change the outcome of the elections. Then, you focus on side effects, taking into account that voting inside and outside the country are very different processes.<br><br>Though ChatGPT still missed some details. A vote \"against\" outside russia wouldn't just be useless\u2014it would most probably be harmful. Clueless politicians would look at it and think, \"Why should we distance ourselves from such a reasonable and peace-loving nation? Putin is the <em>*only*<\/em> threat to my country, and Putin will die soon.\" Additionally, ChatGPT didn't fully explore the internal \"against\" vote. It said it would make the \"mass loyalty story weaker,\" but such a story would be firmly projected regardless. The major nuisance, I believe, is the haphazard falsification process and the \"path is open\" \/ \"storm is brewing\" signal to the rivaling elites.<br><br>Were <em>*you*<\/em> able to solve it? Well, I'm sure most humans would think they solved it; it's just that their so-called solution would often be \"This puzzle makes no sense!!\" or \"This reasoning is not correct, but mine is!!\" or \"You're racist!!\"<\/pre>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hey, wanna compete with GPT-5?There will be no computation of numbers, no pulling of info from memory\u2014nothing that machines excel at just because of their physical architecture. It will be a contest of sheer reason, your neuron connections versus its.(Well, there *is* a chance something similar can be found in its dataset, but that&#8217;s oh [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.diurnsky.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/831"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.diurnsky.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.diurnsky.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.diurnsky.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.diurnsky.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=831"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/www.diurnsky.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/831\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":843,"href":"https:\/\/www.diurnsky.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/831\/revisions\/843"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.diurnsky.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=831"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.diurnsky.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=831"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.diurnsky.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=831"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}